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Tawi2
22nd November 2009, 11:33
184 million Pinoys by 2040 Manila Bulletin - Saturday, November 21Send IM Story Print
BAGUIO CITY - At the current growth rate, the Philippines' population may reach 184.4 million by 2040 to place it on 10th place as the most populated country, the Population Commission (PopCom) said Saturday.

PopCom Executive Director Tomas Osias said that with the country's rapid population growth, the government needs to adopt appropriate adolescent reproductive health practices to prevent over population which could result to pressing problems, such as scarcity of food and water supply and over development in both rural and urban centers.

Currently, the Philippines has a population of 92.2 million and the said figures will eventually double in 31 years to place the country in 10th spot.

The PopCom official revealed that the country's population growth rate is 2.04 percent annually but the same could increase further if the government could not implement appropriate measures to significantly reduce the rather high growth rate.

Even if the country's growth rate is on a downward trend because of the massive information and education campaign on artificial and natural birth control methods, population experts cited the same would not mean a decrease in the country's population since the country has a very high incremental rate and lots of children.

Furthermore, it was discovered that Filipino women have a high fertility rate as a woman gives birth to an average of three children during their fertile years.

It was also noted that 24 percent of the country's population falls on the adolescent category and almost 50 percent represent individuals aged 15 years and over, which is an indication of expected high fertility of the women who are expected to give birth to more children in the next several years.

Osias recommended the conduct of a massive information and education campaign on family planning, especially in the grassroots level to solve the country's increasing population problem and its expected serious negative effects to the living condition of the people.

What is important, according to him, is that the youth should be educated on population education since they are now currently facing many issues like globalization of trade, dispersal of family members, urbanization, climate change and poverty.

Osias noted that education plays an important role in population education but it must be effectively and efficiently done in the rural areas so that today's present generation will be able to cope up with the rapid increase in the number of Filipinos.

PopCom is currently implementing programs on reproductive health, family planning and responsible parenthood which evolve on four concepts: respect for life; responsible parenthood; birth spacing and informed choice.

The population agency is also closely working with the religious sector on issues concerning human equality and reproductive health to ensure that controversial issues affecting the implementation of population control programs will be addressed.

http://ph.news.yahoo.com/mb/20091121/tph-184-million-pinoys-by2040-020e1c8.html

somebody
22nd November 2009, 13:16
So start buying land its gonna be worth a bit in 2040

dave63
22nd November 2009, 13:21
I know I am a bit randy :icon_tonguew:But you can't blame it all on me:Sex:

Tawi2
22nd November 2009, 13:30
So start buying land its gonna be worth a bit in 2040
The only piece of land I will inhabit by then is 6 foot under the surface :icon_lol:

somebody
22nd November 2009, 13:33
The only piece of land I will inhabit by then is 6 foot under the surface :icon_lol:

Why are you soon to get your Telegram from the Queen:Erm::D

joebloggs
22nd November 2009, 14:05
184 million Pinoys by 2040 Manila Bulletin - Saturday, November 21Send IM Story Print
BAGUIO CITY - At the current growth rate, the Philippines' population may reach 184.4 million by 2040 to place it on 10th place as the most populated country, the Population Commission (PopCom) said Saturday.

an extra 90million in 30yrs :NoNo:
i can't see it, unless the phils becomes the new south of france, Tenerife or Benidorm and all us brits move over there :rolleyes:

pop of the phils has been growing by about 1million a yr, to get to 184m would need a grow of 3m a yr :NoNo:

JimOttley
22nd November 2009, 15:07
an extra 90million in 30yrs :NoNo:
i can't see it, unless the phils becomes the new south of france, Tenerife or Benidorm and all us brits move over there :rolleyes:

pop of the phils has been growing by about 1million a yr, to get to 184m would need a grow of 3m a yr :NoNo:

Quick excel spreadsheet projection based on 2.04 annual growth rate and assumption of 90 million starting point :(

Year Population Growth Population increase
2009 90.00 2.04% 1.84
2010 91.84 2.04% 1.87
2011 93.71 2.04% 1.91
2012 95.62 2.04% 1.95
2013 97.57 2.04% 1.99
2014 99.56 2.04% 2.03
2015 101.59 2.04% 2.07
2016 103.67 2.04% 2.11
2017 105.78 2.04% 2.16
2018 107.94 2.04% 2.20
2019 110.14 2.04% 2.25
2020 112.39 2.04% 2.29
2021 114.68 2.04% 2.34
2022 117.02 2.04% 2.39
2023 119.41 2.04% 2.44
2024 121.84 2.04% 2.49
2025 124.33 2.04% 2.54
2026 126.86 2.04% 2.59
2027 129.45 2.04% 2.64
2028 132.09 2.04% 2.69
2029 134.79 2.04% 2.75
2030 137.54 2.04% 2.81
2031 140.34 2.04% 2.86
2032 143.21 2.04% 2.92
2033 146.13 2.04% 2.98
2034 149.11 2.04% 3.04
2035 152.15 2.04% 3.10
2036 155.25 2.04% 3.17
2037 158.42 2.04% 3.23
2038 161.65 2.04% 3.30


actually if I had started at 92.2 it would have been 172.43 million in 2040

Jim

Tawi2
22nd November 2009, 15:13
Family planting :rolleyes:

JimOttley
22nd November 2009, 15:19
I know I am a bit randy :icon_tonguew:But you can't blame it all on me:Sex:

You can't blame be either ;) I got sterilised as soon as we reached replacement level :D


jim

joebloggs
22nd November 2009, 15:27
Quick excel spreadsheet projection based on 2.04 annual growth rate and assumption of 90 million starting point :(

Year Population Growth Population increase
2009 90.00 2.04% 1.84
2010 91.84 2.04% 1.87
2011 93.71 2.04% 1.91
2012 95.62 2.04% 1.95
2013 97.57 2.04% 1.99
2014 99.56 2.04% 2.03
2015 101.59 2.04% 2.07
2016 103.67 2.04% 2.11
2017 105.78 2.04% 2.16
2018 107.94 2.04% 2.20
2019 110.14 2.04% 2.25
2020 112.39 2.04% 2.29
2021 114.68 2.04% 2.34
2022 117.02 2.04% 2.39
2023 119.41 2.04% 2.44
2024 121.84 2.04% 2.49
2025 124.33 2.04% 2.54
2026 126.86 2.04% 2.59
2027 129.45 2.04% 2.64
2028 132.09 2.04% 2.69
2029 134.79 2.04% 2.75
2030 137.54 2.04% 2.81
2031 140.34 2.04% 2.86
2032 143.21 2.04% 2.92
2033 146.13 2.04% 2.98
2034 149.11 2.04% 3.04
2035 152.15 2.04% 3.10
2036 155.25 2.04% 3.17
2037 158.42 2.04% 3.23
2038 161.65 2.04% 3.30


actually if I had started at 92.2 it would have been 172.43 million in 2040

Jim

http://www.census.gov.ph/data/pressrelease/2008/pr0830tx.html

The projected average annual population growth rate for the period 2005 to 2010 was 1.95 percent. This projection was based on the 2000 Census of Population and Housing.

Lowest population growth rate recorded since the 1960s

The 2007 and 2000 census figures translated into an average annual population growth rate of 2.04 percent for the period 2000 to 2007. As shown below, it was the lowest annual population growth rate recorded for the Philippines since the 1960s

still very worrying, where will they live, where will the jobs, housing and food come from ?

Tawi2
22nd November 2009, 15:34
Manila is bursting fit to pop,squatter camps everywhere,is it 10,000 people live in North cemetary,the living dead?The country isnt geared up to providing shelter and food for the population its got never mind twice the number:Erm:as for the census of population,not everyones registered,get out into the boonies or down in sulu and jolo,its not viewed as compulsory.

JimOttley
22nd November 2009, 15:51
http://www.census.gov.ph/data/pressrelease/2008/pr0830tx.html

The projected average annual population growth rate for the period 2005 to 2010 was 1.95 percent. This projection was based on the 2000 Census of Population and Housing.

Lowest population growth rate recorded since the 1960s

The 2007 and 2000 census figures translated into an average annual population growth rate of 2.04 percent for the period 2000 to 2007. As shown below, it was the lowest annual population growth rate recorded for the Philippines since the 1960s

still very worrying, where will they live, where will the jobs, housing and food come from ?

Exactly very worrying :(

At 1.95% it comes out at 167 million in 2040, 1% growth would see it at 125 million.

For many many years people have been predicting a Malthusian Catastrophe at some point, I reckon the Phils will experience one before the population gets that large however that is a horrific thought to contemplate :(

Also they won't be the only country to go through this :(

Jim

ca143
22nd November 2009, 16:10
very scary,i had to blame thise to the priest......

Tawi2
22nd November 2009, 16:14
very scary,i had to blame thise to the priest......

Why,has he been putting it about a bit :Erm::cwm24:

ca143
22nd November 2009, 16:27
The majority of the population are catholic and they are against contraceptives....:D

pennybarry
22nd November 2009, 16:38
Oh my goodness that is too much for our little country.:NoNo:
I can blame these people who have nothing to do, and they do it in their bedroom!
And they are the producers of babies. :D

Land is getting more expensive yearly.
Commodities runs up quick!
I think it's to time for those people doing nothing in the city to go back in their province and start to cultivate their land.

Northerner
22nd November 2009, 17:20
So start buying land its gonna be worth a bit in 2040

Sounds like a great idea... :) Though I doubt the tennants could afford to pay rent..

JimOttley
22nd November 2009, 17:50
So start buying land its gonna be worth a bit in 2040

As I am sure you know we can't buy land over there ;)

Such a shame :)


Jim