It is impossible to state anything with any certainty, the influenza virus is extremely prone to mutation.
In the 1918-1920 flu pandemic the first wave affected young healthy adults, by the time the much more deadly second wave came round it had mutated a bit and the primary victims were back to being the elderly and children.
The big fear is that the pattern of this virus is strikingly similar so far to the 1918 outbreak and the worry is that the second wave, like the 1918 virus, could be a lot worse.
Jim
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