Originally Posted by
Iani
My reasoning on him being a fraud are
He is painting himself as wanting big concessions from the rest of the EU. He isn't asking much. He wants to limit benefits paid to migrants, which could be resolved by internal laws anyway. He wants protection for the financial markets, again there isn't really the threat, nothing an internal law and being better than the competition wouldn't solve. He wants to limit migration from new member states until their economy was more on a par with the rest of the existing EU........well this is likely to happen anyway as many other states were stung last time, and besides who will be next to join? Nobody is on course for this for many years. Turkey won't join as too many other states are against this.
He will demand these, the other states will in private breath a huge sigh of relief that it's all he wants, he will come back here and run a referendum stating he has these massive concessions when he's got nothing of the sort, and he's "fixed" the referendum by making sure the postive "yes" vote will be to stay in............exactly what he wants.
To put it another way, he saw a threat from UKIP. He saw his power base being chipped away, so he's pretended to be anti-EU to head off a UKIP threat. He knows damned well there will be no vote to come out, he will make sure of that.
He COULD on the other hand have demanded associate membership, similar to Norways but a bit closer, other states would have agreed to this rather than totally lose the UK (And their massive massive contributions/market for their goods), but this isn't what he wants. He's only having this referendum, which he will make damned sure goes his way, because voters dared to potentially vote against his re-election.
The biggest proof is that the "yes" option will be for the status quo, very different to convention on such matters. The other proof - his "demands" are very minor changes indeed. I'd be more impressed if he demanded an opt-out from free movement